1 Core Rules

Hierarchy: AMD (Accumulation → Manipulation → Distribution) → FBOS (false break during manipulation) → RBOS (break after liquidity event with displacement) → IDM POI (the entry).

The 5m chart is the structural source. M15 sets bias, 1m/30s refines execution only after a valid 5m setup exists.

2 POI Hierarchy

• IDM POI — liquidity sweep → RBOS displacement → POI. Highest probability.
• FVG-origin POI — FVG tap → POI → RBOS validates. Strong with directional context.
• Parent/context POI — dominant delivery leg POI used as target or reversal.
• SMT-Trap — origin of manipulation leg. Lowest respect; expect it to fail.

3 Execution Setup

4 Session Logic

Asia makes AMD. London sweeps Asia (MMXM trigger). NY delivers continuation. No session makes AMD before NYSE → NYSE (9:30) makes the move itself.

NQ delivers straight vector once inducement is crowned: little to no re-entry. NQ does not always retest.

5 Non-Negotiables

6 SMT-Trap Cross-Check

7 Synthesized Findings

Derived from live trade data. Updated as new trades are logged.

• Setup edge is IDM. Every logged trade is an IDM setup. No other setup type has been taken live yet. IDM is the highest-probability POI when the AMD + RBOS sequence is clean.
• Both losses share the same root cause. Each loss came from an IDM POI where the ES SMT-Trap cross-check was not applied. The NQ RBOS looked valid in isolation but ES had not confirmed.
• Asia session is the only window so far. All trades logged are Asia session (10am AEST). London and NY sessions have not been traded yet. Asia makes the AMD; London sweeps; NY delivers. The edge is in catching the Asia internal distribution.
• POI respected = higher R. When the POI held and delivered, R averaged significantly higher. When the POI ran through, it was a loss. POI response is the most direct read of setup quality after entry.
• Strong RBOS outperforms weak/standard. Trades with strong displacement RBOS produced better outcomes. Weak RBOS should be a filter to reduce size or skip.
• NQ/ES alignment is the missing filter. NQ may sweep a low and create a setup, but if ES has not swept the corresponding low, there is no reaction. The actual move does not begin until both instruments have swept their respective liquidity and align on direction. Check ES before every NQ entry.
• SMT-Trap on ES is a hard stop. If your entry-trigger sweep drives ES INTO a live manipulation-leg SMT-Trap, the NQ RBOS is trap-fill, not continuation. Wait for ES to clear the trap or for the trap to fail.
• 4 of 5 trades NQ-led SMT. NQ-led SMT is the dominant SMT type in the dataset. ES-led has not been taken. This is a sample-size limitation, not a confirmed edge.
• Bias attachment kills flexibility. Holding a macro narrative (bearish NWOG fill) too tightly makes you blind to what price is actually doing. If ES is making higher highs and higher lows, the bullish trade is the trade regardless of your thesis. Hold biases loosely - let price confirm or invalidate.

8 Counter AMD (The Missing Filter)

How to identify: You have a valid POI. Price enters the zone but prints a counter AMD: manipulation INTO your expected direction, then displacement AWAY from it. If the counter AMD creates RBOS in the counter direction, ALL previous orderflow entries from that POI become invalid.

Connection to SMT-Trap: Counter AMD = behavioral confirmation of an SMT-Trap. SMT-Trap is structural (where it is). Counter AMD is behavioral (what it does). Same trap, different lens.

Two SMT-Trap types: (1) Original manipulation trap: OB at origin of accumulation's manipulation leg. (2) FBOS trap: created after FBOS during manipulation, entices with small reaction before real move. Both are the same concept.

9 Session Chaining

Asia sets the first liquidity pool (H/L). Can create the main IDM inducement of the whole session. On 15m looks like accumulation. Protected = clear AMD cycle with FBOS.

London continues Asia's IDM or sweeps Asia before real expansion. Forms protected H/L that anchor narrative. Creates many IDM POIs.

New York: If London made IDM, NY continues London's direction. If Asia made IDM, NY may reverse only if valid HTF POI or significant liquidity swept. If neither made valid IDM, NY creates the main IDM itself.

10 Vector Candles (15m)

Heavily moved candles with extreme volume = "true manipulation" on 15m.

• Body multiplier: >= 1.5x avg body of preceding candles
• Volume multiplier: >= 1.2x avg volume of preceding candles

Confluence for identifying genuine manipulation within 15m AMD cycle. Confirms phase, does not replace structural read.

11 Risk Scaling

1R = $500 (2 minis, 50pt TP on funded).

• 50K eval: Risk $300-400. Target $1,500 TP. Can risk $500 on high conviction. Target 3R days.
• Funded: 2 minis, 50pt TP. Massive OB = 1 mini, 75pt. Very large = micros. Max 20pt SL for OB entries. 1x LDN + 1x Asia trades per session.
• Max loss: $750 hard cap (psychological stop at $500).

12 Critical Rules

• Ranging: Between swing high/low, do not trade.
• BE rule: Two structure breaks on traded TF = breakeven.
• Invalid RBOS: Accumulation after RBOS = not a valid RBOS. Extra manipulation.
• No double protection: Only one manipulation leg extreme in power at a time.
• Reinducement: No clean reaction after sweep = expect resweep.
• Liquidity after sweep: Sharp move expected. Accumulation = resweep coming.